US Election

REP: Trump vs. Cruz vs. Rubio
DEM: Clinton vs. Sanders

Timeline
Feb (Start of State Voting)
1 - Iowa Caucus (Marks the beginning of the primaries)
9 - New Hampshire Vote

July
22 (onwards) - Nomination for Party Leader

September/October
26, 4, 9 & 19 - Rep vs. Dem Debates

November
8 - Election Day

I believe the running mates are also determined in late July(?)
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Comments

  • GRRGRR
    edited January 2016
    Clinton 8/11
    Rubio 5/1
    Trump 5/1
    Cruz 9/1
    Sanders 12/1
    Bush 20/1
    Current next pres odds.
    I expect Rubio to sharply shorten if he does well in the early primaries. Clinton will be hoping Trump gets the GOP nomination.
  • wimmera1wimmera1 You know I'm right.
    Trump will win in a canter.
    It's been that sort of year (already).
    Starting to wonder if we're in the end times.
  • Incoming!Incoming! Fast-twitch Fibers
    wimmera1 said:

    Trump will win in a canter.

    the GOP nomination or the presidential election ?
  • BLOODSTAINED DEVILSBLOODSTAINED DEVILS Senior Player / Devils Advocate. - "Only The Truth Will Set Us Truly Free"
    Has to be GOP.
  • wimmera1wimmera1 You know I'm right.
    Nah, the whole box and dice.
    What was it no-one ever went broke doing?
  • I hope Trump wins just for the lols.
  • Incoming!Incoming! Fast-twitch Fibers
    He might win the GOP nomination.

    America is too mixed race, has too many women and has too many millennials for Trump to ever win the presidency.
  • Paul PeosPaul Peos RIP NickyD
    For those following closer than I, Jeb bush is no chance, yeah?

    I think I'd rather Trump than W's dumber brother.
  • Incoming!Incoming! Fast-twitch Fibers
    yeah Jeb's a low energy type of guy

    no chance
  • You may not like Trump, agree with his policies or agree with what he says, or even agree with what he looks like. But, he's a freakin' genius, first he's made himself into a billionaire and now he's looking like a serious candidate to rule the country. FWIW, I don't think he believes what he's saying, but he feeds it to the naive because he knows it'll get him votes. He's playing the game to an absolute tee IMO.
  • bugman5bugman5 Feel the sarcasm
    Trump is elected president and I'd put good money on him pressing the button on day one. As Wim said, end of days.
  • bugman5 said:

    Trump is elected president and I'd put good money on him pressing the button on day one. As Wim said, end of days.

    If he aims the nuke at AFL House...well i won't shed any tears.
  • Westing WuckmanWesting Wuckman Has delusions of belting kants
    Incoming! said:

    He might win the GOP nomination.

    America is too mixed race, has too many women and has too many millennials for Trump to ever win the presidency.

    But too many of these people don't vote.
  • Heffsgirl said:

    bugman5 said:

    Trump is elected president and I'd put good money on him pressing the button on day one. As Wim said, end of days.

    If he aims the nuke at AFL House...well i won't shed any tears.
    I think you'll find a few Blitzers would find themselves caught in the fallout!
  • simmo41simmo41 IS PROBABLY BEING FACETIOUS
    wimmera1 said:

    Trump will win in a canter.
    It's been that sort of year (already).
    Starting to wonder if we're in the end times.

    Given the way 2016 has played out so far, I'm starting to think the Rapture happened on NYE
  • Heffsgirl said:

    bugman5 said:

    Trump is elected president and I'd put good money on him pressing the button on day one. As Wim said, end of days.

    If he aims the nuke at AFL House...well i won't shed any tears.
    I think you'll find a few Blitzers would find themselves caught in the fallout!
    Blitz would put "bomberblitz.com" on the weapon.

  • GRRGRR
    edited January 2016
    Trump might be a business genius, what do I know, but according to Joey Diaz he got a little help in NYC in the 80s.
    Pretty sure Diaz won't be playing at Trump's inauguration.
    Warning: The language is a bit fruity.
  • Henry's Angry PillsHenry's Angry Pills Henry, Sir Womble of Cock
    edited January 2016
    Paul Peos said:

    For those following closer than I, Jeb bush is no chance, yeah?

    I think I'd rather Trump than W's dumber brother.

    Jeb is one of the more liberal, sane & grounded Republican candidates.

    Let that sink in.
  • Incoming!Incoming! Fast-twitch Fibers
    edited January 2016

    Incoming! said:

    He might win the GOP nomination.

    America is too mixed race, has too many women and has too many millennials for Trump to ever win the presidency.

    But too many of these people don't vote.
    enough of them voted last election

    and that block has grown since then.
  • Incoming!Incoming! Fast-twitch Fibers
    Three weeks from the start of primary season in the US, Bernie Sanders has scored his first lead over frontrunner Hillary Clinton in the Iowa caucus, the first contest in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination.

    The results of poll released on Tuesday by the independent Quinnipiac University found that the Vermont Senator is drawing 49 percent support among likely Democratic voters, compared with Clinton's 44 percent and former Maryland governor Martin O'Malley's 4 percent. The latest survey showed an abrupt reversal of fortunes for the top two Democratic candidates from a December 15 poll that had Clinton leading Sanders in Iowa 51-40.

    Support for Sanders, a self-described democratic socialist, has surged since he announced his candidacy last May. The 74-year-old Sanders received an unprecedented 2.5 million individual financial contributions to his campaign last year. Despite the upward trend in public opinion polls for Sanders, doubts about his chances of winning the nomination over the former secretary of state have dogged his campaign. Sanders currently lags some 12 percentage points behind Clinton in a composite of Democratic nomination polls provided by Real Clear Politics.

    https://news.vice.com/article/bernie-sanders-has-snagged-his-first-lead-in-the-polls-over-hillary-clinton-in-iowa

  • RebootReboot If you don't pay your exorcist you can get repossessed.
    edited January 2016

    Paul Peos said:

    For those following closer than I, Jeb bush is no chance, yeah?

    I think I'd rather Trump than W's dumber brother.

    Jeb is one of the more liberal, sane & grounded Republican candidates.

    Let that sink in.

    The Republican candidates in this election are one of the most dangerous collection of lunatics the world has ever seen run for office. Let's hope freaking Mickey Mouse gets up rather than any of these nut jobs.



    Republicans are so bullish on war that 30% would bomb a fictional country


    A poll on Friday by Public Policy Polling perfectly encapsulates the Republican presidential race so far: “30% of Republican primary voters nationally say they support bombing Agrabah.” That would be the fictional country in Aladdin.

    Republican voters, urged on by the Republican candidates, are now eager to bomb anywhere that has a Muslim-sounding name regardless of whether it comes from a cartoon. While the poll itself may be amusing, it’s not exactly surprising given the cartoonish levels of tough-guy militarism that spews from the mouth of every Republican candidate as they try to one-up each other on who would start more wars harder and quicker.

    Ted Cruz has spent the past two weeks calling for a “carpet bombing” of the Middle East in an attempt to destroy Isis, saying he wants to see if “sand can glow in the dark”. He defended this call on national television Tuesday while outright avoiding the question of whether that means he’s prepared to kill the hundreds of thousands of civilians that live in Isis’s de-facto capital of Raqqa, Syria.

    Donald Trump, in between his calls for banning Muslims here at home, also called on American forces to commit war crimes by killing the families of terrorists. His meaningless calls to “bomb the **** out of Isis” naturally have led all the other candidates to trip over each other in an attempt to find more and more colorful adjectives to describe how their bombs would look.

    Chris Christie, whose whole campaign seems based around trying to sound like he could beat the other candidates up for their lunch money, was perhaps the most absurd: he threatened war with both Russia and China during the last debate. Christie claimed he was totally willing to start a third world war with Russia over a no-fly zone in Syria and would shoot down Russian pilots immediately. His reason? To avenge the thousands killed by Assad, and the “millions running around the world, running for their lives”. So Christie’s position is: we will start the third world war to save Syrians, but we draw the line in at allowing five-year-old Syrian orphans into the United States.

    Lost in the insanity of the rest of the debate where candidates were calling for carpet bombings, the killing of civilians and games of chicken with the world’s largest nuclear power was also Christie’s call for all out cyberwar with China. Apparently under a Christie presidency, the US would immediately respond to any hacking by the Chinese government by doxxing the entire country, essentially turning the United States government into Anonymous: “What we need to do is go at the things that they are most sensitive and most embarrassing to them; that they’re hiding; get that information and put it out in public.” I’m always for more government transparency, but the chances of this spiraling out of control and leading to actual war is hard to overstate.

    On top of all this, it’s such a foregone conclusion that many of these candidates will happily rip up the Iran nuclear deal and send us down a path of war with them that hardly anyone even asks them anymore.

    Council on Foreign Relations’ Micah Zenko has a handy chart where he is tracking all the people and places each presidential candidate has said he or she wants to bomb. - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1S8Erb3MGrqfPveBuCPdSZADaJaQIYYgTNOo2OEkRq-w/pubhtml - He also reminds us that Ben Carson has not only promised all of the above, but to also unleash drone strikes in Mexico.

    It’s worth noting that Democratic frontrunner Hillary Clinton is just as militaristic, or more so, than most of the Republicans when it comes to Isis and Iran. She has at least refrained, however, from calling for a third world war with Russia or launching drone strikes in Mexico.

    http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/dec/18/republicans-are-so-bullish-on-war-that-30-percent-would-bomb-a-fictional-country
  • Alan_Noonan_10Alan_Noonan_10 Iconoclast and blasphemer

    Paul Peos said:

    For those following closer than I, Jeb bush is no chance, yeah?

    I think I'd rather Trump than W's dumber brother.

    Jeb is one of the more liberal, sane & grounded Republican candidates.

    Let that sink in.
    Jeb's married to a Latina too. So the Donald won't like him.
  • IceTempleIceTemple Always Elite
    edited January 2016
    Reboot said:

    Paul Peos said:

    For those following closer than I, Jeb bush is no chance, yeah?

    I think I'd rather Trump than W's dumber brother.

    Jeb is one of the more liberal, sane & grounded Republican candidates.

    Let that sink in.

    The Republican candidates in this election are one of the most dangerous collection of lunatics the world has ever seen run for office. Let's hope freaking Mickey Mouse gets up rather than any of these nut jobs.
    As oppossed to Billary Clinton? A slimier candidate you will never meet. She has so much wrong with her that in any other year she would have no hope of getting the nomination. She has learnt well from her husbands ability to dodge everything thrown at him.

    There is not much choice for voting in these current US elections: vote 1 for the least slimiest of all the slimies.
  • Henry's Angry PillsHenry's Angry Pills Henry, Sir Womble of Cock
    edited January 2016
    TomsDons said:

    You may not like Trump, agree with his policies or agree with what he says, or even agree with what he looks like. But, he's a freakin' genius, first he's made himself into a billionaire and now he's looking like a serious candidate to rule the country. FWIW, I don't think he believes what he's saying, but he feeds it to the naive because he knows it'll get him votes. He's playing the game to an absolute tee IMO.

    He claims he's worth something $10 billion, or, if you ask him to actually write something down and sign it, about $1.4 billion - but what's $8.5 billion, between friends??


    I'm not sure how many of those claims would actually stack up, if they had to be sold. His biggest skill is getting everyone talking about Trump, I suspect that's not actually worht what he wants to claim it's worth - and certainly not applicable to running an economy (United States of Trump, anybody?). He's had a lot of failed business ventures, bankruptcies and losses.

    He lost money building a casino, FFS!!! Literally a licence to have people give you money!


    http://www.cnbc.com/2015/07/23/trumps-550m-golf-empire-may-be-in-the-weeds-experts.html
    http://edition.cnn.com/2015/07/22/politics/donald-trump-personal-financial-disclosure/
    http://insider.foxnews.com/2015/11/09/marco-rubio-responds-donald-trump-attacking-his-personal-finances
    http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2015/sep/21/carly-fiorina/trumps-four-bankruptcies/
  • Incoming!Incoming! Fast-twitch Fibers
    Feel the Bern.
  • Stealth bomberStealth bomber Give James a hug
    If a Republican wins I'm on the next plane back.
  • wimmera1wimmera1 You know I'm right.
    Incoming! said:

    Incoming! said:

    He might win the GOP nomination.

    America is too mixed race, has too many women and has too many millennials for Trump to ever win the presidency.

    But too many of these people don't vote.
    enough of them voted last election

    and that block has grown since then.
    Take your point, but in a system with voluntary voting I think it's worth noting that a lot of people really, really want to vote for Trump.
    A lot more, I would wager, than really really wanted to vote for McCain.

  • BLOODSTAINED DEVILSBLOODSTAINED DEVILS Senior Player / Devils Advocate. - "Only The Truth Will Set Us Truly Free"
    Yeah Wim, but yanks have a habit of making a lot of noise without thought early, but get realistic & finally engage the brain when it comes time to actually ante up.
  • wimmera1wimmera1 You know I'm right.
    I hope you're right.
    I really do.
    I'm also concerned that the most charismatic candidate was won every time since...Bush the Elder?
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